Tuesday, January 20, 2015

The Business Cycle



  • Expansionary - the real output in the economy is increasing and the unemployment rate is declining
    • ex : we can tell the stage of expansionary when houses are being built, gas prices are dropping
  • Peak - where real GDP is at its highest point
  • Contraction (Contractionary) - the real output in the economy is decreasing and the unemployment rate is rising/increasing
    • also known as a recession
  • Trough - lowest point of real GDP
    • trough means that the graph curves downward real deep
    • a depression (unless GDP seriously dropped)
    • one business cycle goes from trough to trough
    • Average cycle is 6 years
    • Recessing last about 14 months
    • Bulk of a cycle is the growth stage

  • Peak - Trough, are meaningless because we never know we are in one until it's over
  • If a recession loses more than 10% of real GDP, then it's a depression
  • Trough means the end of a recession

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