Monday, February 2, 2015

Inflation

I. Inflation - rise in general price levels
II. Measuring Inflation

  • Inflation Rate - measures percentage increase of price level over time; a key indicator of economy's health
    1. deflation - decline in general price level (alternatives)
    2. disinflation - occurs when inflation rate itself declines (technology)
  • Consumer Price Index (CPI) - measures inflation by tracking the yearly price of a fixed basket of goods and services
    • indirect changes of cost of living and price level
III. Solving Inflation Problems
  • Finding inflation rate using market basket data
    • ((current year market basket data - base year market basket data) / base year market basket data) x 100
  • Finding inflation rate using price indexes
    • ((current year price index - base year price index) / base year price index) x 100
  • Estimating inflation rate using the rule of 70
    • used to calculate number of years it takes for price level to double at any given rate
    • years needed to double inflation = 70 / annual inflation rate
  • Determining real wages
    • (nominal GDP / price level) x 100
  • Finding real interest rate
    1. Real interest rate
      • cost of borrowing or lending money adjusted for expected inflation
      •  nominal - inflation premium
      • always a percentage (%)
    2. Nominal interest rate
      • unadjusted cost of borrowing or lending money
IV. Causes of Inflation
  • Demand - pull inflation : caused by excess of demand over output that pulls prices upward
  • Cost - push inflation : caused by rise in per unit production cost due to increase of resource cost
V. Effects of Inflation
  • Anticipated v.s. Unanticipated inflation
Hurt by Inflation - 
  • fixed income people
  • lenders, creditors
  • savers
Helped by Inflation -
  • borrowers

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