Sunday, May 3, 2015

Balance of Payments


  • measure of money inflows and outflows between U.S. and Rest of the World ( ROW )
  • system of accounting used for international trade
  • credit ( in ) and debit ( out )
  • inflow ( adding ) and outflow ( subtracting ) from account
3 Accounts
  1. Current Account
  2. Capital / Financial Account
  3. Official Reserves Account
Double Entry Bookkeeping
  • every transaction in the balance of pavements is recorded twice in accordance with standard accounting practice
    • ex : always = 0 ; offset each other and should = 0 ( theoretically )
    • ex : John Deere export $ 50 million
      • credit $ 50 million to current account
      • debit $ 50 million to capital / financial account
Current Account
  • balance of trade or net exports
    • exports of goods and services - imports of goods and services
    • exports create a credit to balance of payments
    • imports create a debit to balance of payments
  • Net Foreign Income
    • income earned by U.S. owned foreign assets - income paid to foreign held U.S. assets
      • ex : interest payment to U.S. owned Brazilian bonds - interest payment to German owned U.S. Treasury bonds
  • Net Transfer ( tend to be unilateral )
    • foreign aid  a debit to the current account
      • ex : Mexican migrant workers send money to family in Mexico
Capital / Financial Account
  • balance of capital ownership
  • includes purchase of both real and financial assets
  • direct investment in U.S. is a credit to the capital account
    • ex : Toyota Factory in San Antonio
  • direct investment by U.S. firms / individuals in a foreign country are debits to the capital account
    • ex : Intel Factory in San Jose, Costa Rica
  • Purchase of Foreign financial assets represent debit of capital account
    • ex : Warren Buffet buys stocks in Petrochina
  • Purchase of domestic financial assets by foreigners represent a credit to the capital account
    • ex : United Arab Emirates Sovereign Wealth Fund purchases a large stake in NASDAQ
Relationship between Current and Capital Account?
  • Current and Capital Account MUST = 0 ( or cancel each other out )
  • if the current account has a negative balance ( deficit ) , then the capital account should then have a positive balance ( surplus )
    • ex : the constant net inflow of foreign financial capital to the U.S. ( capital account surplus ) is what enables us to import more than when we export ( current account deficit )
Official Reserves ( encompassing gold and reserves )
  • foreign currency holdings of the U.S. Federal Reserves System
  • when there is a balance of payments surplus the FED accumulates foreign currency and debits the balance of payments
  • when there is balance of payments deficit the FED depletes its reserves of foreign currency and credits the balance of payments
Active v.s. Passive Official Reserves
  • U.S. is passive in its use of official reserves
    • it does not seek to manipulate the dollar exchange rate
  • the People's Republic of China is active in its use of official reserves
    • it actively buys and sells dollars in order to maintain a steady exchange rate with the U.S.

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