Thursday, February 26, 2015

Interest Rate and Investment Demand

- Investment = money spent / expenditures on :
  • new plants (factories)
  • capital equipment (machinery)
  • technology (hardware or software)
  • new homes
  • inventories (goods sold by producers)
Expected Rates of Return
  • How do business make investment decisions?
    • Cost / Benefit Analysis
  • How does business determine benefits?
    • Expected rate of return
  • How does business cont cost?
    • Interest costs
  • How does business determine the amount of investment they undertake?
    • compare expected rate of return to interest cost
      • if expected rate of return is more than interest cost, then invest
      • if expected rate of return is less than interest cost, DO NOT invest
Real GDP (r %) versus Nominal GDP (i %)
  • Difference between the two :
    • Nominal GDP - observable rate of interest rate subtracted out of inflation ( %)and is only known as an ex post facto
  • How to compute real interest rate (r %)?
    • r % = i % - %
  • What determines the cost of an investment decision?
    • real interest rate (r %)
Investment Demand Curve (ID)
  • What is the shape of the investment demand curve?
    • downward sloping
  • Why?
    • when interest rates are high, fewer investments are profitable
    • when interest rates are low, more investments are profitable
    • ex :
Shifts in ID
  • Cost of Production
    • lower costs shift ID →
    • higher costs shift ID ←
  • Business Taxes
    • lower business taxes (ID →)
    • higher business taxes (ID ←)
  • Technological Change
    • new technology (ID →)
    • lack of technology change (ID ←)
  • Stock of Capital
    • if an economy is low on capital, then ID →
    • if an economy is much capital, then ID ←
  • Expectations
    • positive expectations (ID →)
    • negative expectations (ID ←)
  • Investment Demand shifts when different levels of Ig occur, even when r % is constant

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